作者 | 志豪
编辑 | 漠影
马斯克的Robotaxi项目,延期了。特斯拉股价11连涨被迫终止。
车东西7月12日消息,就在昨夜,彭博社报道称,据知情人士透露,特斯拉公司计划把Robotaxi(无人驾驶出租车)的发布时间从8月份调整到10月份,以便让参与该项目的团队有时间打造出更多的原型车。
▲彭博社报道称特斯拉Robotaxi将延期至10月发布
此消息一出,特斯拉的股价迎来下跌,美股开盘后,特斯拉股价下跌5%。截至美股收盘,特斯拉的股价跌幅扩大至8.4%,报241美元/股(约合人民币1749元/股),总市值来到了7687亿美元(约合人民币55791.88亿元),市值缩水7.5亿美元(约合人民币5117亿元)。
▲特斯拉股价暴跌8.4%
早在今年4月份,马斯克就在社交平台上宣布特斯拉将会在今年8月8日正式发布Robotaxi,随后关于特斯拉Robotaxi的内饰图、概念图层出不穷,甚至还有不少海外用户拍到了疑似特斯拉Robotaxi的测试车。
随着特斯拉Robotaxi发布日期的不断接近,以及特斯拉FSD系统的不断更新,外界对于特斯拉保持着极高的信心,在过去的11天内,特斯拉股价一路走高,创下2023年6月之后最长连涨记录。
而在Robotaxi发布延期的消息传出来之后,特斯拉的股价连涨之路被迫画上句号。
一、押宝自动驾驶和AI 特斯拉朝着新的目标努力
在过去两年时间里,马斯克对于特斯拉的目标一直是销量,曾定下了要实现年销量2000万辆的销量目标。
但随着新车型推出速度放缓,以及在Cybertruck和Semi车型、4680电池等项目的量产上投入过多精力,特斯拉的销量增长并不算特别迅速。
今年年初,马斯克也给出了特斯拉最新的发展目标——自动驾驶和AI,马斯克更是直接在社交软件上宣布特斯拉拟于8月8日发布Robotaxi。
6月份的股东大会上,马斯克也花了很多时间来介绍Robotaxi项目,他表示特斯拉不会运营自己的Robotaxi车队,而是让特斯拉车主的车加入共享车队,从而为车主创造额外的收入。
▲特斯拉股东会展示Robotaxi打车App页面
简单来说,特斯拉车主日常可以自由使用自己的车,而在不用车的闲暇时间,可以让车辆变成Robotaxi去参与运营,最终车辆获得的收益,也会分配给车主。
而这并不是马斯克首次对外介绍这个想法,事实上,马斯克早在八年前就预告了Robotaxi的相关概念。不过,在今年马斯克宣布了最终的发布时间之后,特斯拉Robotaxi的进度明显加速了。
二、FSD系统是关键 疑似原型车已被用户拍到
要想实现Robotaxi,核心主要是两个方面,一是特斯拉目前正在稳步推进的FSD系统,这是特斯拉Robotaxi能够实现的技术基础。另一方面则是车辆本身,这是Robotaxi投入运营后,乘客所直接接触的产品。
而在这两方面,特斯拉的进展都很可观。
首先在FSD方面,特斯拉是行业内最早放弃小模型而改向大模型的玩家,对FSD的系统底层代码进行了重写,现在已经通过大模型的方式开始迭代升级并且推给部分用户进行内测了。
目前,特斯拉已经向部分用户推送了FSD V12.4.3版本,这也是特斯拉FSD目前可公开的最新版本。不过由于推送的人数并不算多,目前还没有太多用户的体验视频流出,仅有一些长期的FSD体验博主在X(原推特)上发文表示,FSD V12.4.3在高速公路行驶的时候会出现在车道内“画龙”的情况。
马斯克则表示在FSD V12.5.X版本将会结合高速公路和市区软件栈,从而带来更好的体验。但这一版本何时才能亮相,还是个未知数,此前马斯克曾透露说将会在2024年6月底推出,很显然,马斯克又食言了。
值得注意的是,何小鹏此前在美国体验了FSD V12.3.6版本,这也是大部分用户能体验到的最新版本,在何小鹏发布的视频中可以看到,这一版本在城区的表现已经非常好了,通过路口、躲避锥桶、甚至是左转和右转的表现基本都很丝滑。
▲特斯拉FSD无保护左转非常丝滑
尽管也找到了几处bug,但是何小鹏还是发出了“比我自己开的还好”的感叹。
相比较于FSD的高调更新,特斯拉在Robotaxi原型车的开发方面显得异常低调。但还是逃不过网友的镜头。
日前有用户在加利福尼亚北部发现了一辆装有特殊摄像头的特斯拉Model 3测试车。
从照片来看,这款车应该是基于特斯拉Model 3焕新版改装而来,车辆新增了多个摄像头。
▲网友拍到的疑似特斯拉Robotxi测试车头部
前保险杠位置新增加了一个摄像头,似乎是为了实现更好的车辆前侧感知而设计的。
从侧面来看,车辆取消了传统的后视镜,后视镜下方的侧视摄像头则做的更加突出,在一定程度上替代了后视镜的作用。
▲网友拍到的疑似特斯拉Robotxi测试车侧面
比较奇怪的是,车辆的B柱后有一个角度向斜前方的摄像头,可能是为了更好的实现对车辆侧面的识别。不过最终量产版本,这一摄像头的位置可能不会这么奇怪。
车辆尾部,也可以看到在“TESLA”标志中“S”的位置新增了一个摄像头。
▲网友拍到的疑似特斯拉Robotxi测试车后部
而其他方面,这一车辆和目前在售的Model 3焕新版似乎并没有太多的差距。从车辆的外观来看,这应该是一辆测试车,可能在进行软件方面的测试。
同样是在特斯拉股东会前夕,特斯拉放出宣传片上,似乎也透露了Robotaxi的内饰,视频中有一个车辆内部设计图的镜头,可以看到图片中的车辆并没有方向盘且只有两个座椅,而这一设计也有可能会出现在未来特斯拉的Robotaxi之中。
▲疑似特斯拉Robotaxi内饰方案
不过,特斯拉的Robotaxi究竟长什么样子,还是要等到正式发布会上,马斯克亲自来揭秘了。
结语:Robotaxi大热,国内已开始收费载人
随着越来越接近特斯拉原定的Robotaxi的发布日期,国内Robotaxi领域也开始火热了起来。
百度旗下萝卜快跑在武汉投放了400多辆Robotaxi,不少用户已经开始在武汉付费体验了,直接拉动了百度美股股价的增长,甚至带动国内多个智能驾驶股价都出现了增长。
而除了百度,国内的Robotaxi头部玩家如小马智行、文远知行也都在推动Robotaxi的落地。
除了企业的落地探索,国内政策也在不断更新。去年底,《自动驾驶汽车运输安全服务指南(试行)》的发布明确了自动驾驶汽车规范运营的相关标准。本月工信部等四部门发布《智能网联汽车“车路云一体化”应用试点城市名单》,20个城市成为试点城市。
近日北京市经济和信息化局会同相关部门起草了《北京市自动驾驶汽车条例(征求意见稿)》,明确提出了允许符合要求的自动驾驶汽车可以在申报后,开展道路测试、示范应用、示范运营、道路运输服务试点等活动,并用于公共汽车客运、出租车及网约车客运、货物运输、城市环卫等场景。
可以说,在Robotaxi布局方面,国内的进度非常迅速,特斯拉的Robotaxi正式发布会,也需要面对国内相关企业的正面竞争。
Suddenly! Tesla's market value plummeted by 500 billion yuan overnight, and the release of unmanned rentals has been postponed until October
vehicle
Author | Zhihao
Editor | desert Shadow
Musk's Robotaxi project has been delayed. Tesla's 11 consecutive gains in stock price were forced to end.
On July 12th, it was reported by Bloomberg that Tesla plans to adjust the release date of Robotaxi from August to October, according to insiders, in order to give the teams involved in the project time to create more prototype cars.
General Motors fined 1.06 billion! Over 5.9 million cars have been convicted of exceeding emissions standards and fined for two consecutive years
Bloomberg reports that Tesla Robotaxi will be delayed until October release
As soon as this news was released, Tesla's stock price experienced a decline, and after the opening of the US stock market, Tesla's stock price fell by 5%. As of the close of the US stock market, Tesla's stock price fell by 8.4% to $241 per share (approximately RMB 1749 per share), with a total market value of $768.7 billion (approximately RMB 5579.188 billion), a decrease of $750 million (approximately RMB 511.7 billion) in market value.
General Motors fined 1.06 billion! Over 5.9 million cars have been convicted of exceeding emissions standards and fined for two consecutive years
Tesla's stock price plummeted by 8.4%
As early as April this year, Musk announced on social media that Tesla would officially release the Robotaxi on August 8th. Subsequently, there were numerous interior and concept images of the Tesla Robotaxi, and even many overseas users took photos of test cars suspected of being Tesla Robotaxi.
As the release date of Tesla Robotaxi approaches and Tesla's FSD system continues to be updated, the outside world maintains a high level of confidence in Tesla. In the past 11 days, Tesla's stock price has been rising all the way, setting a record for the longest consecutive increase since June 2023.
After the news of Robotaxi's delayed release came out, Tesla's continuous rise in stock price was forced to come to an end.
1、 Staking on autonomous driving and AI, Tesla strives towards new goals
In the past two years, Musk's goal for Tesla has always been sales, setting a sales target of 20 million vehicles per year.
But with the slowdown in the launch speed of new models and excessive investment in mass production projects such as Cybertruck and Semi models, 4680 batteries, Tesla's sales growth is not particularly rapid.
At the beginning of this year, Musk also announced Tesla's latest development goals - autonomous driving and AI. Musk also directly announced on social media that Tesla plans to release Robotaxi on August 8th.
At the shareholders' meeting in June, Musk also spent a lot of time introducing the Robotaxi project. He stated that Tesla will not operate its own Robotaxi fleet, but will allow Tesla owners' cars to join the shared fleet, thereby creating additional income for the owners.
General Motors fined 1.06 billion! Over 5.9 million cars have been convicted of exceeding emissions standards and fined for two consecutive years
Tesla shareholders' meeting showcases Robotaxi ride hailing app page
Simply put, Tesla owners are free to use their cars on a daily basis, and during their leisure time when they don't use their cars, they can turn their vehicles into Robotaxis to participate in operations. Ultimately, the profits obtained from the vehicles will also be distributed to the owners.
And this is not the first time Musk has introduced this idea to the public. In fact, Musk had already predicted the concept of Robotaxi eight years ago. However, after Musk announced the final release date this year, the progress of Tesla Robotaxi has significantly accelerated.
2、 The FSD system is crucial, and the suspected prototype car has been captured by the user
To achieve Robotaxi, there are two main aspects. Firstly, Tesla is steadily advancing the FSD system, which is the technological foundation for Tesla Robotaxi. On the other hand, it is the vehicle itself, which is the product that passengers directly come into contact with after Robotaxi is put into operation.
In both aspects, Tesla's progress is considerable.
Firstly, in terms of FSD, Tesla was one of the earliest players in the industry to abandon small models and switch to large models. They rewrote the underlying code of the FSD system and have now started iterative upgrades through large models, which have been pushed to some users for internal testing.
At present, Tesla has pushed the FSD V12.4.3 version to some users, which is also the latest publicly available version of Tesla's FSD. However, due to the small number of users who have been pushed, there have not been many user experience videos leaked yet. Only some long-term FSD experience bloggers have posted on X (formerly Twitter) that FSD V12.4.3 will "draw dragons" in the lane when driving on highways.
Musk stated that the FSD V12.5. X version will combine highway and city software stacks to provide a better experience. But when this version will be unveiled is still unknown. Musk had previously revealed that it would be released at the end of June 2024, but it is clear that Musk has broken his promise again.
It is worth noting that He Xiaopeng had previously experienced the FSD V12.3.6 version in the United States, which is the latest version that most users can experience. In the video released by He Xiaopeng, it can be seen that this version has performed very well in urban areas, with smooth performance when passing through intersections, avoiding cones, and even turning left and right.
General Motors fined 1.06 billion! Over 5.9 million cars have been convicted of exceeding emissions standards and fined for two consecutive years
▲ Tesla FSD unprotected left turn very slippery
Although he also found several bugs, He Xiaopeng still exclaimed, 'It's better than what I drove myself.'.
Compared to FSD's high-profile updates, Tesla appears unusually low-key in the development of Robotaxi prototypes. But it still cannot escape the camera of netizens.
Recently, a user discovered a Tesla Model 3 test car equipped with a special camera in northern California.
From the photo, it appears that this car is based on the updated version of Tesla Model 3, which has added multiple cameras.
General Motors fined 1.06 billion! Over 5.9 million cars have been convicted of exceeding emissions standards and fined for two consecutive years
Suspected Tesla Robotxi test car head captured by netizens
A new camera has been added to the front bumper position, seemingly designed to achieve better front perception of the vehicle.
From a side view, the vehicle has eliminated the traditional rearview mirror, and the side view camera below the rearview mirror has been made more prominent, to some extent replacing the role of the rearview mirror.
General Motors fined 1.06 billion! Over 5.9 million cars have been convicted of exceeding emissions standards and fined for two consecutive years
Suspected Tesla Robotxi test car side captured by netizens
Strangely, there is a camera behind the B-pillar of the vehicle that tilts towards the front at an angle, possibly to better recognize the side of the vehicle. However, in the final mass-produced version, the position of this camera may not be so strange.
At the rear of the vehicle, a new camera can also be seen at the "S" position in the "TESLA" logo.
General Motors fined 1.06 billion! Over 5.9 million cars have been convicted of exceeding emissions standards and fined for two consecutive years
Suspected Tesla Robotxi test car rear captured by netizens
In other aspects, there doesn't seem to be much difference between this vehicle and the updated version of Model 3 currently on sale. From the appearance of the vehicle, this should be a test car, possibly undergoing software testing.
On the eve of Tesla's shareholder meeting, Tesla released a promotional video that seemed to reveal the interior of the Robotaxi. In the video, there is a shot of the vehicle's interior design, which shows that the vehicle in the picture does not have a steering wheel and only has two seats. This design may also appear in Tesla's Robotaxi in the future.
General Motors fined 1.06 billion! Over 5.9 million cars have been convicted of exceeding emissions standards and fined for two consecutive years
▲ Suspected Tesla Robotaxi interior design scheme
However, what Tesla's Robotaxi looks like will still have to wait until the official launch event, when Musk personally reveals it.
Conclusion: Robotaxi is booming, and China has started charging for manned transportation
As the release date of Tesla's Robotaxi approaches, the domestic Robotaxi industry has also become hot.
Baidu's Carrot Run has deployed over 400 Robotaxis in Wuhan, and many users have started paying to experience them in Wuhan, directly driving the growth of Baidu's US stock price and even driving the growth of multiple domestic intelligent driving stock prices.
In addition to Baidu, domestic top Robotaxi players such as Koma Zhixing and Wenyuan Zhixing are also promoting the landing of Robotaxi.
In addition to exploring the landing of enterprises, domestic policies are also constantly being updated. At the end of last year, the release of the autonomous vehicle transport Safety Service Guide (Trial) clarified the relevant standards for the standardized operation of autonomous vehicle. This month, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and four other departments released the list of pilot cities for the "vehicle road cloud integration" application of intelligent connected vehicles, with 20 cities designated as pilot cities.
Recently, the Beijing Municipal Bureau of economy and Information Technology, together with relevant departments, drafted the Regulations of autonomous vehicle (Draft for Comments), clearly stating that autonomous vehicle that meet the requirements can be allowed to carry out road testing, demonstration applications, demonstration operations, road transport service pilot and other activities after application, and be used in bus passenger transport, taxi and online car hailing passenger transport, cargo transport, urban sanitation and other scenarios.
It can be said that in terms of Robotaxi layout, the progress in China is very rapid, and Tesla's Robotaxi official launch event also needs to face positive competition from domestic related enterprises.
句子成分分析:(划分说明) 提示:框中标识可点击
Baidu's Carrot Run has deployed over 400 Robotaxis [in Wuhan], || and manyusers have started paying to experience them [in Wuhan], || directly driving the growth (of Baidu's US stock price and [even] driving the growth (of multipledomestic intelligent driving)) stock prices.
句子语法结构详解:
* deployed 为谓语,采用现在完成时。
* 第1个 and 为并列连词,连接并列句。
* started 为谓语,采用现在完成时。
* paying 为动名词,作宾语。
* to experience 为不定式,作状语。
* directly 引导时间状语从句。
* 第1个 driving 为动名词,在句中作主语。
* 第2个 driving 为动名词。
* 第2个 stock 为谓语,采用一般现在时。
* them, us 为人称代词宾格。has, have 为助动词。Baidu's 为名词所有格。the 为定冠词。
句子相关词汇解释:
Vocabulary:
carrot ['kærәt] | n. | 1) 胡萝卜 2) 好处,报酬 |
run [rʌn] | n. | 1) 跑,跑步,跑步的时间(或距离) 2) (尤指短程或定期,乘交通工具的)旅程,航程 |
deploy [di'plɔi] | vt. | 1) 部署,调度(军队或武器) 2) 有效地利用,调动 |
over ['әuvә] | ad. | 超过,多于,大于 |
robotaxi | n. | 自动驾驶出租车; 无人驾驶的士 |
Wuhan | n. | [中国省市] 武汉 |
many ['meni] | a. | 许多, 很多 |
user ['ju:zә] | n. | 1) 用户,使用者 2) [俚]瘾君子,吸毒成性的人 |
start [stɑ:t] | vt. | 1) 使开始,着手,动手 2) 使发生,开始进行 |
pay [pei] | vi. | 1) 付费,付酬 2) 赢利,创收 |
experience [ik'spiәriәns] | vt. | 1) 感受,体会,体验 2) 经历,经受,遭受 |
directly [dəˈrektli] | conj. | 一...(就...), 一当...就... |
drive [draiv] | vt. | 1) 驾驶, 开(车) 2) 开车送(某人) |
growth [grәuθ] | n. | 1) 发育,生长 2) 增加,增强 |
US [ʌs] | abbr | ( = United States) 美国 |
stock [stɔk] | a. | 1) (商店里)常备的,通常有的 2) 老一套的,陈腐的 |
vt. | 1) 贮备,贮存(食物、书籍等) 2) 存货 | |
price [prais] | n. | 1) 价格,价钱,物价 2) 代价 |
and [ænd] | conj. | 1) 和, 与, 同, 并 2) 然后,接着 |
even ['i:vәn] | ad. | 1) 甚至,即使 2) (用于加强比较)甚至更, 愈加 |
drive [draiv] | vt. | 1) 驾驶, 开(车) 2) 开车送(某人) |
multiple ['mʌltipl] | a. | 数量多的,多种多样的 |
domestic [dәu'mestik] | a. | 1) 本国的,国内的 2) 家用的,家庭的,家务的 |
intelligent [in'telidʒәnt] | a. | 1) 有才智的,悟性强的,聪明的 2) (动物、生物等)有智力的,有理解和学习能力的 |
driving ['draiviŋ] | n. | 驾驶,行驶,开车 |
句子成分分析:(划分说明) 提示:框中标识可点击
[At the end (of last year)], the release (of the autonomous vehicle TransportSafety Service Guide (Trial)) clarified the relevant standards [for the standardized operation (of autonomous vehicle)].
句子语法结构详解:
* transport 开头为祈使句。
* transport 为谓语。
* clarified 为谓语,采用一般过去时。
* standardized 为过去分词作定语
* the 为定冠词。
句子相关词汇解释:
Phrase:
last year | 最后一年 |
Vocabulary:
end [end] | n. | 1) (事物的)末端 2) (时间,事件等的)结尾,终结 |
release [ri'li:s] | n. | 1) 公开,发行,发布 2) 释放,获释 |
autonomous [ɔ:'tɔnәmәs] | a. | 1) (国家,地区,组织等)自治的, 有自治权的 2) (指人)自主的 |
vehicle ['vi:ikl] | n. | 1) 交通工具,车辆 2) (赖以表达思想,感情或达到目的的)手段,工具 |
transport [træns'pɔ:t] | vt. | 1) (用交通工具)运输,运送,输送 2) (以自然方式)运输,输送,传播 |
safety ['seifti] | n. | 1) 安全 2) 安全性 |
service ['sә:vis] | n. | 1) 服务,接待 2) 公共事业 |
guide [gaid] | n. | 1) 指导者,指引者 2) 指南,手册 |
trial ['traiәl] | n. | 1) 审问,审讯,审理,审判 2) (对能力、质量、性能等的)试验,试用 |
clarify ['klærifai] | vt. | 1) 使更清晰易懂,阐明,澄清 2) (尤指通过加热黄油使)纯净,净化 |
relevant ['relivәnt] | a. | 1) 有价值的,有意义的 2) 紧密相关的,切题的 |
standard ['stændәd] | n. | 1) 标准,水平,规范 2) 正常水平,应达标准 |
standardize ['stændәdaiz] | vt. | 使标准化,使符合标准(或规格) |
operation [,ɔpә'reiʃәn] | n. | 1) 手术 2) (有组织的)活动,行动 |
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