秒词邦

原文：

　　在俄乌冲突延宕的背景下，北约和俄罗斯近期都出现了在核威慑方面“秀肌肉”的动向。

　　北约秘书长斯托尔滕贝格12日在布鲁塞尔宣称，针对俄罗斯近期的涉核言论和演习，北约有必要调整其核能力并展示核威慑力的有效性。

　　北约秘书长宣称有必要调整北约的核威慑力

　　北约秘书长斯托尔滕贝格：北约的核威慑力量是我们的终极安全保证和终极威慑力量。这是经过了很多年才发展起来的核共享安排，也就是美国在欧洲拥有核武器，盟国提供飞机、保管、指挥、控制和支持，这一切构成了确保北约全面威慑和防御有效性和安全性的一部分。

　　斯托尔滕贝格还宣称，荷兰日前宣布F-35战机已经为执行核任务做好准备。此外，美国正在对在欧洲部署的本国核武器进行现代化升级。

　　美国不断升级在欧洲核力量

　　事实上，自俄乌冲突爆发以来，美国在拓展升级欧洲核力量方面已经有过多次动作。美国《政治报》网站此前报道，美国加速向欧洲多座北约基地部署“升级版”核弹B61-12，用于替换旧版本的武器，而截至2023年，美国在比利时、德国、荷兰、土耳其以及意大利的6个空军基地已部署了上百枚核弹。

　　俄副外长：美国逼迫俄或改变核政策

　　俄罗斯多次警告说，西方国家的举动增加了核战争的风险。俄罗斯副外长里亚布科夫11日警告说，如果美国及其盟友用“升级行动”来逼迫俄罗斯，俄罗斯可能会改变其核政策。

　　俄罗斯总统普京本月7日表示，俄罗斯拥有核政策，只有在国家主权和领土完整受到威胁的极端情况下才可能使用核武器，目前这种情况尚未发生。

　　“调整”“威慑”北约向俄进一步施压

　　那么北约秘书长宣称的“调整核威慑力”，具体会怎么操作？俄方正在进行的非战略核力量演习，又透露出了哪些意图？北约与俄罗斯的核威慑博弈是否会擦枪走火？来看总台记者的解读。

　　总台记者魏东旭：北约秘书长斯托尔滕贝格这番表态对俄罗斯有强烈的、明显的挑衅性和威胁性。他这番表态中有两个关键词非常值得关注，第一个就是调整。所谓“调整”，主要是针对北约在欧洲部署的战术核武器进行调整，会在美国和他盟友的核共享机制内和框架下，增加核共享的伙伴。按照北约秘书长的表态，荷兰所拥有的F-35A战斗机已经做好了准备，通过美国的授权和技术改造，随时可以进行搭载战术核弹的改装。也就是说，在北约成员国内部，利用美国的核共享机制，会有更多欧洲国家的军队具备战术核武器的这种共享方式和联合使用模式，这也意味着俄罗斯在欧洲方向将面临更多的核压力以及核威胁。

　　总台记者魏东旭：第二个关键词是威慑。这个“威慑”，很可能是北约拥核成员国像美国、英国和法国要进行更多战术的、战略的核力量展示。比如，美国可能会派出战略轰炸机，在欧洲方向、北大西洋方向，针对俄罗斯的重要军事目标和战略目标进行远程的模拟核打击演练。尤其是在战术核武器的共享和部署方面，北约可能会有更为激进的动作。

　　启动非战略核力量演习俄对北约威慑制衡

　　总台记者魏东旭：在核力量方面进行博弈，俄罗斯已经注意到了北约的一些挑衅性动作。俄罗斯也启动了第二阶段的非战略核力量演习，俄罗斯可以通过相关的盟约在白俄罗斯境内部署战术核武器，针对北约的军事压力进行制衡。俄罗斯的海军也会参与其中，这非常引人关注，因为在俄罗斯的海上作战体系当中，很多大型作战平台和先进的装备都具备战术核打击能力，比如说它的攻击型核潜艇和多功能的、多用途的核潜艇都可以搭载核鱼雷，包括波塞冬核动力无人潜航器可以从水下出击，针对北约尤其是美国的航母战斗群进行威慑和制衡。

　　核大战的灾难性后果各方承担不起

　　总台记者魏东旭：可以说在俄罗斯与北约的军事较量和军事博弈过程当中，核是一个关键词。北约和俄罗斯之间的较量会变得更加激烈，但是双方毕竟是拥有核武器的大国，相信北约和俄罗斯之间，美国和俄罗斯之间还是有沟通的通道。双方可能会出现剑拔弩张的态势，相互展示核威慑以及核打击的手段，但是只会怒目而视，不会真正地动刀动枪。因为一旦出现核冲突或者是核大战，这样一个灾难性的后果，各个方面都承担不起。

译文：

In the context of the delay of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, NATO and Russia have recently shown a tendency to "show muscle" in nuclear deterrence.

NATO Secretary general Stoltenberg announced in Brussels on the 12th that NATO needs to adjust its nuclear capabilities and demonstrate the effectiveness of its nuclear deterrence in response to Russia's recent nuclear remarks and exercises.

NATO Secretary General declares the need to adjust NATO's nuclear deterrence

NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg: NATO's nuclear deterrence is our ultimate security guarantee and ultimate deterrence. This is a nuclear sharing arrangement that took many years to develop, where the United States possesses nuclear weapons in Europe and the Allies provide aircraft, custody, command, control, and support, all of which constitute a part of ensuring the effectiveness and security of NATO's comprehensive deterrence and defense.

Stoltenberg also claimed that the Netherlands recently announced that F-35 fighter jets are ready to carry out nuclear missions. In addition, the United States is modernizing and upgrading its own nuclear weapons deployed in Europe.

The United States is constantly upgrading its nuclear power in Europe

In fact, since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the United States has taken many actions in expanding and upgrading European nuclear forces. The US Politico website reported earlier that the US had accelerated the deployment of the "upgraded" nuclear bomb B61-12 to several NATO bases in Europe to replace the old version of weapons. By 2023, the US had deployed hundreds of nuclear bombs to six air bases in Belgium, Germany, the Netherlands, Türkiye and Italy.

Deputy Foreign Minister of Russia: The United States Forces Russia or Changes Nuclear Policy

Russia has repeatedly warned that the actions of Western countries increase the risk of nuclear war. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Riyabkov warned on the 11th that if the United States and its allies use "escalation actions" to pressure Russia, Russia may change its nuclear policy.

Russian president Putin stated on the 7th of this month that Russia has a nuclear policy and can only use nuclear weapons in extreme situations where national sovereignty and territorial integrity are threatened. This situation has not yet occurred.

Adjusting and Deterring NATO's further Pressure on Russia

So what will be the specific operation of NATO Secretary General's claim to "adjust nuclear deterrence"? What intentions have been revealed by the non strategic nuclear exercises currently being conducted by the Russian side? Will the nuclear deterrence game between NATO and Russia backfire? Let's take a look at the interpretation of the head office reporter.

CCTV reporter Wei Dongxu: NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg's statement has a strong and obvious provocation and threat to Russia. There are two key words worth paying attention to in his statement, the first of which is adjustment. The so-called "adjustment" mainly refers to the adjustment of NATO's tactical nuclear weapons deployed in Europe, which will increase the number of nuclear sharing partners within the nuclear sharing mechanism and framework of the United States and its allies. according to the statement of NATO Secretary General, the F-35A fighter jet owned by the Netherlands is ready to be modified to carry tactical nuclear bombs at any time with authorization and technological modifications from the United States. That is to say, within NATO member countries, utilizing the US nuclear sharing mechanism, there will be more European military forces equipped with tactical nuclear weapons sharing and joint use modes. This also means that Russia will face more nuclear pressure and threats in the European direction.

CCTV reporter Wei Dongxu: The second keyword is deterrence. This "deterrence" is likely to be a display of more tactical and strategic nuclear power by NATO's nuclear armed member states such as the United States, Britain, and France. For example, the United States may dispatch strategic bombers to conduct long-range simulated nuclear strike exercises against important military and strategic targets of Russia in the European and North Atlantic directions. especially in the sharing and deployment of tactical nuclear weapons, NATO may take more aggressive actions.

Launching Non Strategic Nuclear force Exercise: Russia's Deterrence and balance Against NATO

CCTV reporter Wei Dongxu: In the game of nuclear power, Russia has noticed some provocative actions by NATO. Russia has also launched the second phase of non strategic nuclear force exercises, allowing it to deploy tactical nuclear weapons within Belarus through relevant treaties to counter NATO's military pressure. The Russian navy will also be involved, which is very concerning because in Russia's maritime combat system, many large combat platforms and advanced equipment have tactical nuclear strike capabilities. For example, its attack type nuclear submarines and multifunctional and multi-purpose nuclear submarines can carry nuclear torpedoes, including Poseidon nuclear powered unmanned submersibles that can launch underwater to deter and balance NATO, especially the United States, aircraft carrier battle groups.

The catastrophic consequences of a nuclear war cannot be borne by all parties involved

CCTV reporter Wei Dongxu: It can be said that in the military competition and game between Russia and NATO, nuclear is a key word. The competition between NATO and Russia will become even more intense, but after all, both sides are major countries with nuclear weapons. I believe there are still communication channels between NATO and Russia, as well as between the United States and Russia. There may be a tense situation between the two sides, showing each other the means of nuclear deterrence and nuclear strike, but they will only stare angrily and not really use knives and guns. Because once a nuclear conflict or war occurs, all parties cannot afford such a catastrophic consequence.

句子分析1：

This is a nuclear sharing arrangement that took many years to develop, where the United States possesses nuclear weapons in Europe and the Allies provide aircraft

句子成分分析：

This is a nuclear sharing arrangement (that took many years to develop), (where the United States possesses nuclear weapons [in Europe] || and the Allies provide aircraft)

句子语法结构详解：

(took 为 take 的过去式。)

* is 为系动词作谓语，采用一般现在时。
* sharing 为动名词，与 arrangement 构成合成名词。
* that 为关系代词，引导定语从句。
* took 为谓语，采用一般过去时。
* to develop 为不定式，作状语。
* where 为关系副词，引导非限制性定语从句。
* possesses 为谓语，采用一般现在时。动词采用第三人称单数形式。
* and 为并列连词，连接并列句。
* provide 为谓语，采用一般现在时。
* this 为指示代词。the 为定冠词。a 为不定冠词。

相关语法知识:
   系动词
   时态
   动名词
   定语从句
   不定式
   非限制性定语从句
   动词的第三人称单数形式
   并列连词
   many, much 的用法
   指示代词

句子相关词汇解释：

Phrase:

Vocabulary:

句子语法错误检查：

This is a nuclear sharing arrangement that took many years to develop, where the United States possesses nuclear weapons in Europe and the Allies provide aircraft

 主谓不一致。建议把 possesses 改为 possess。 (详解)

句子相关学习点：

 cost, spend, take 的区别

句子分析2：

  In addition, the United States is modernizing and upgrading its own nuclear weapons deployed in Europe.

句子成分分析：

[In addition], the United States is modernizing and upgrading its own nuclear weapons deployed [in Europe].

句子语法结构详解：

* modernizing 为谓语，采用现在进行时。
* upgrading 为谓语。
* deployed 为过去分词，作后置定语。
* its 为物主代词。is 为助动词。the 为定冠词。

相关语法知识:
   时态
   并列连词
   过去分词
   助动词 | 物主代词

句子相关词汇解释：

Phrase:

Vocabulary:

句子语法错误检查：

In addition, the United States is modernizing and upgrading its own nuclear weapons deployed in Europe.

 主谓不一致。建议把 is 改为 are。 (详解)

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